We are 80% sure of the situation, because the atmosphere might be less unstable and showers rarer than forecast.
Very cloudy with risk of thunderstorms in the morning, warning: storms in the afternoon: considerable electrical activity.Showers will be frequent and heavy.In the evening, storms developing. Showers. SSW force 2 in the morning temporarily S force 3 in the middle of the day. Gusts reaching 14 knots in the middle of the day. Smooth to slight sea. Low, short swell from SSW. Good visibility becoming poor in the evening.