Low 1010 hPa centered on the center of Spain moving at 20 knots to the East-North-East to be centered on the South-West of France.
Für Ars-En-Re :
No gale warning.
We are 80% sure of the situation, because the atmosphere might be less unstable and showers rarer than forecast.
Skies very cloudy, risk of thundery outbreaks during the afternoon. Risk of showers in the morning, showers dying away in the afternoon. In the evening, good clear periods but lots of cloud, too.
Chance of light rain. ENE force 4 weakening ESE force 2 in the middle of the day then becoming WNW. Gusts reaching 20 knots in the morning. Smooth to slight sea. Low, fairly long swell from WSW. Excellent visibility becoming good in the evening.